Impact des activités anthropiques sur la couverture terrestre du bassin du río Quilichao (Colombia) : analyse et projections pour 2030 et 2050
DOI :
https://doi.org/10.17561/at.31.9131Mots-clés :
Couverture des sols, Culture, Développement durable., Bassin versantRésumé
La croissance démographique et des activités telles que l’urbanisation, l’exploitation minière et l’agriculture ont provoqué des changements significatifs dans l’utilisation et la couverture des sols (LULC) dans le bassin de la rivière Quilichao, Cauca, Colombie. Pour évaluer et prédire ces changements, des technologies géospatiales ont été appliquées pendant la période 2018-2021. Les projections pour les années 2030 et 2050 ont été réalisées en utilisant le modèle d’automates cellulaires et de réseaux neuronaux artificiels (CA-ANN) du complément MOLUSCE dans QGIS. Les cartes LULC ont montré une grande précision, avec des coefficients Kappa supérieurs à 0,97. Entre 2019 et 2050, une diminution de 488,65 ha de végétation dense et une augmentation de 638,16 ha de cultures sont projetées, une tendance qui devrait se poursuivre avec une augmentation supplémentaire de 330,21 ha de cultures d’ici 2030 et 435,42 ha d’ici 2050. Cette analyse fournit un outil crucial pour la formulation de politiques axées....
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